AGILE

AGnostic risk management for high Impact Low probability Events

AGILE will design, develop and apply a holistic methodological framework and practical tools for understanding, anticipating and managing HILP events with a systemic risk and resilience perspective. The project will combine and integrate a wide range of established and innovative methodologies into a novel and replicable multi-sectoral risk and resilience stress testing methodology to better: 

  • UNDERSTAND (systems theory, lateral thinking, strategic foresight, machine learning) 
  • ANTICIPATE (scenario building & table-top exercises, multi-criteria decision analysis, machine learning) and 
  • MANAGE (resilience assessment, capability development & strategic training) 

These approaches and services will be co-created within a unique transdisciplinary consortium of research organisations, NGOs, SMEs, first responders and local and regional authorities. The scalable and replicable methods will enable for the identification of common points of failure of critical societal functions in response to compounding lowprobability, highimpact threats as well as provide recommendations for both risk-informed system hardening and threat-agnostic systemic recovery. The project will ultimately improve the strategic and operational risk management capacities and capabilities of DRM stakeholders on local, regional and national level and thus strengthen the societal resilience to new and emerging risks in Europe and beyond.
The project provides the means and the methodology to ensure a wideranging impact of its results to not only improve the understanding, anticipation and management of HILP risks and events, but the direct and wide-ranging contribution to key European and international policy priorities and global challenges such as the EU disaster risk management policies (in particular UCPM), the European Green Deal priorities (EU Climate Adaptation Strategy) as well as the EU Security Union Strategy. 

AGILE

Funding

Horizon Europe

Area

Civil Security for Society

Duration

1 Oct 2023 - 30 Sep 2027

Budget

€ 4 563 406,25

Our role

Grant Scan & Strategy, Proposal Development, Project Management, Dissemination & Communication, Stakeholder Dialogue, Exploitation & Sustainability

Partners

15

Countries

10

Coordinator

JOHANNITER-UNFALL-HILFE EV, Germany 

Participants

  • MINISTERUL AFACERILOR INTERNE, Romania
  • National Commissioner of the Icelandic Police, Iceland
  • AGENCIA DE ENERGIA E AMBIENTE DA ARRABIDA, Portugal
  • G.E. PUKHOV INSTITUTE FOR MODELINGIN ENERGY ENGINEERING OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF UKRAINE, Ukraine
  • VEILIGHEIDSREGIO ROTTERDAM RIJNMOND, Netherlands
  • GEMEENTE ROTTERDAM, Netherlands
  • PPI – PREPARED INTERNATIONAL UG (HAFTUNGBESCHRANKT), Germany
  • TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITEIT DELFT, Netherlands
  • FONDAZIONE CENTRO EURO-MEDITERRANEOSUI CAMBIAMENTI CLIMATICI, Italy
  • FACTOR SOCIAL – CONSULTORIA EM PSICO – SOCIOLOGIA E AMBIENTE LDA, Portugal
  • ARTTIC INNOVATION GMBH, Germany
  • Pacific Disaster Center, United States
  • UNIVERSITY COLLEGE LONDON, United Kingdom
  • TOHOKU UNIVERSITY, Japan